šŸ’„ Into the Ether (Issue #79)

It's best to pretend you know what you're doing.

To thank every one of you who collected Metaversal Badges, we got the creative force behind them, Patrick Lawler, to create a mega artwork referencing them, pieces from the Metaversal collection, and celebrating the projects, personalities, and peculiarities of the first half of 2023 in Web3. Itā€™s called ā€œMetaversalopolis,ā€ and you should find it in the wallet you used to claim Badges soon!

A preview of ā€œMetaversalopolisā€ by Patrick Lawler.

DYOR šŸ”¬

Building hype and a sizeable social media following ahead of a drop is often key to ensuring itā€™s oversubscribed and sells out fast, but itā€™s no guarantee. We were reminded of this earlier this week when Ether ā€” one of the most highly-anticipated Ethereum drops in recent memory ā€” failed to convert tens of thousands of followers into paying customers/card-holding community members on the terms it originally hoped to.

Originally Ether was meant to mint a 10,000-piece profile picture project (PFP) collection at the end of 2022 at a price point that looks outlandishly optimistic from todayā€™s vantage point: 1 ETH for the public mint and 0.5 ETH for those on the allowlist.

The mint was delayed and ā€” fast forward six months ā€” the mint price was reduced to 0.65 ETH / 0.35 ETH. Nonetheless, allowlist minting was slower than expected, prompting the team to cut the supply to 5,555.

Etherā€™s anonymous co-founders. (Image: Ether)

Despite this, the public mint was sluggish too (and a week after the allowlist, which is an eon in Web3 time), so the team shifted tack again, airdropping a second PFP to those who minted one, and using a Dutch auction to move the rest.

Eventually, the collection did mint out, and the project raised around 1,000 ETH (~$1.9 million) in the process, but what was billed as a sure thing turned out to be a shambolic series of missteps, pivots, reorientations, and scrambles.

Unsurprisingly, fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) abounded as the process unfolded, inevitably affecting Etherā€™s performance. It also didnā€™t help that Azukiā€™s Elementals launch happened just before Etherā€™s drop, siphoning liquidity from the market (and introducing all sorts of FUD of its own).

What can we learn from Etherā€™s errors?

  • Itā€™s very hard to time the NFT market

  • Thereā€™s no telling what market conditions will look like when drop time comes when youā€™re months away from it in the planning phase.

  • Price point matters, and so does how far in advance you announce it.

  • People will fill any and all informational vacuums, usually with worst-case scenarios.

  • Pivoting might be essential for a project, but it makes it look like the founders are making things up as they go, eroding trust in the process.

  • Hype and social media followers donā€™t guarantee success.

  • FUD is inevitable, so have a response ready.

  • Transparency creates trust ā€” a vague roadmap doesnā€™t.

  • And perhaps surprisingly, you can still be an anon founder in 2023, and the market still has an appetite for anime-themed NFTsā€¦ but neither of those will likely be true forever.

To the moon šŸŒ™

  • Particle ā€” which creates NFTs that offer holders fractionalized ownership of art ā€” says itā€™s lending the Banksy painting ā€œLove is in the Air,ā€ to major museums. The move comes after a vote passed muster with the ~2,600 holders of the fractionalized NFTs tied to the work.

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Until next time, see you in the metaverse!