šŸ’„ Into the Ether (Issue #79)

It's best to pretend you know what you're doing.

To thank every one of you who collected Metaversal Badges, we got the creative force behind them, Patrick Lawler, to create a mega artwork referencing them, pieces from the Metaversal collection, and celebrating the projects, personalities, and peculiarities of the first half of 2023 in Web3. It’s called ā€œMetaversalopolis,ā€ and you should find it in the wallet you used to claim Badges soon!

A preview of ā€œMetaversalopolisā€ by Patrick Lawler.

DYOR šŸ”¬

Building hype and a sizeable social media following ahead of a drop is often key to ensuring it’s oversubscribed and sells out fast, but it’s no guarantee. We were reminded of this earlier this week when Ether — one of the most highly-anticipated Ethereum drops in recent memory — failed to convert tens of thousands of followers into paying customers/card-holding community members on the terms it originally hoped to.

Originally Ether was meant to mint a 10,000-piece profile picture project (PFP) collection at the end of 2022 at a price point that looks outlandishly optimistic from today’s vantage point: 1 ETH for the public mint and 0.5 ETH for those on the allowlist.

The mint was delayed and — fast forward six months — the mint price was reduced to 0.65 ETH / 0.35 ETH. Nonetheless, allowlist minting was slower than expected, prompting the team to cut the supply to 5,555.

Ether’s anonymous co-founders. (Image: Ether)

Despite this, the public mint was sluggish too (and a week after the allowlist, which is an eon in Web3 time), so the team shifted tack again, airdropping a second PFP to those who minted one, and using a Dutch auction to move the rest.

Eventually, the collection did mint out, and the project raised around 1,000 ETH (~$1.9 million) in the process, but what was billed as a sure thing turned out to be a shambolic series of missteps, pivots, reorientations, and scrambles.

Unsurprisingly, fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) abounded as the process unfolded, inevitably affecting Ether’s performance. It also didn’t help that Azuki’s Elementals launch happened just before Ether’s drop, siphoning liquidity from the market (and introducing all sorts of FUD of its own).

What can we learn from Ether’s errors?

  • It’s very hard to time the NFT market

  • There’s no telling what market conditions will look like when drop time comes when you’re months away from it in the planning phase.

  • Price point matters, and so does how far in advance you announce it.

  • People will fill any and all informational vacuums, usually with worst-case scenarios.

  • Pivoting might be essential for a project, but it makes it look like the founders are making things up as they go, eroding trust in the process.

  • Hype and social media followers don’t guarantee success.

  • FUD is inevitable, so have a response ready.

  • Transparency creates trust — a vague roadmap doesn’t.

  • And perhaps surprisingly, you can still be an anon founder in 2023, and the market still has an appetite for anime-themed NFTs… but neither of those will likely be true forever.

To the moon šŸŒ™

  • Particle — which creates NFTs that offer holders fractionalized ownership of art — says it’s lending the Banksy painting ā€œLove is in the Air,ā€ to major museums. The move comes after a vote passed muster with the ~2,600 holders of the fractionalized NFTs tied to the work.

Thread of the week 🧵

Connect for more šŸ”Œ

Until next time, see you in the metaverse!